Why winning a soccer game is worth 5 points

Ranking is used in sport leagues to determine a champion and/or to decide on promotion/relegation of teams. Arguably, the best known ranking method relies on scores obtained by cumulating the points associated with the wins and the draws of all teams, which are then ranked by sorting the score obtained. There are two main problems with this ranking method. First, the meaning of the ranking is undefined, and, second, it depends on the relative value of the wins that is arbitrarily set. We remedy these issues by introducing a probabilistic model of the game results and by showing an interpretation of the ranking that is consistent with the model. We also propose a methodology to estimate the parameter of the model which allows us to objectively determine the value of the win. In particular, using data from the association football (soccer), we show that the value of the win is close to five (5) points

On BICM receivers for TCM transmission

Recent results have shown that the performance of bit-interleaved coded modulation (BICM) using convolutional codes in nonfading channels can be significantly improved when the interleaver takes a trivial form (BICM-T), i.e., when it does not interleave the bits at all. In this paper, we give a formal explanation for these results and show that BICM-T is in fact the combination of a TCM transmitter and a BICM receiver. To predict the performance of BICM-T, a new type of distance spectrum for convolutional codes is introduced, analytical bounds based on this spectrum are developed, and asymptotic approximations are also presented. It is shown that the minimum distance of the code is not the relevant optimization criterion for BICM-T. Optimal convolutional codes for different constrain lengths are tabulated and asymptotic gains of about 2 dB are obtained. These gains are found to be the same as those obtained by Ungerboeck's one-dimensional trellis coded modulation (1D-TCM), and therefore, in nonfading channels, BICM-T is shown to be asymptotically as good as 1D-TCM.Comment: Submitted to the IEEE Transactions on Communication

Towards Fully Optimized BICM Transceivers

Bit-interleaved coded modulation (BICM) transceivers often use equally spaced constellations and a random interleaver. In this paper, we propose a new BICM design, which considers hierarchical (nonequally spaced) constellations, a bit-level multiplexer, and multiple interleavers. It is shown that this new scheme increases the degrees of freedom that can be exploited in order to improve its performance. Analytical bounds on the bit error rate (BER) of the system in terms of the constellation parameters and the multiplexing rules are developed for the additive white Gaussian Noise (AWGN) and Nakagami-$m$ fading channels. These bounds are then used to design the BICM transceiver. Numerical results show that, compared to conventional BICM designs, and for a target BER of $10^{-6}$, gains up to 3 dB in the AWGN channel are obtained. For fading channels, the gains depend on the fading parameter, and reach 2 dB for a target BER of $10^{-7}$ and $m=5$.Comment: Submitted to the IEEE Transactions on Communication